Continued misinterpretation of confidence intervals: response to Miller and Ulrich

نویسندگان

  • Richard D. Morey
  • Rink Hoekstra
  • Jeffrey N. Rouder
  • Eric-Jan Wagenmakers
چکیده

Miller and Ulrich (2015) critique our claim (Hoekstra et al., Psychonomic Bulletin & Review, 21(5), 1157-1164, 2014), based on a survey given to researchers and students, of widespread misunderstanding of confidence intervals (CIs). They suggest that survey respondents may have interpreted the statements in the survey that we deemed incorrect in an idiosyncratic, but correct, way, thus calling into question the conclusion that the results indicate that respondents could not properly interpret CIs. Their alternative interpretations, while correct, cannot be deemed acceptable renderings of the questions in the survey due to the well-known reference class problem. Moreover, there is no support in the data for their contention that participants may have had their alternative interpretations in mind. Finally, their alternative interpretations are merely trivial restatements of the definition of a confidence interval, and have no implications for the location of a parameter.

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

HR Manager Roles in the Context of Globalizing MNC Environment; Empirical Study

With the increasing globalization, more integrated markets, growing number of Multinational Corporations (MNCs) in India and dearth of studies in the area of internationalization and Human Resource (HRR) roles posed a line of enquiry into this aspect as the study is intended to explore the role of HR managers with the degree of internationalization in Indian MNCs. The roles of HR Professionals ...

متن کامل

Distribution Free Confidence Intervals for Quantiles Based on Extreme Order Statistics in a Multi-Sampling Plan

Extended Abstract. Let Xi1 ,..., Xini   ,i=1,2,3,....,k  be independent random samples from distribution $F^{alpha_i}$،  i=1,...,k, where F is an absolutely continuous distribution function and $alpha_i>0$ Also, suppose that these samples are independent. Let Mi,ni and  M'i,ni  respectively, denote the maximum and minimum of the ith sa...

متن کامل

Exact maximum coverage probabilities of confidence intervals with increasing bounds for Poisson distribution mean

 ‎A Poisson distribution is well used as a standard model for analyzing count data‎. ‎So the Poisson distribution parameter estimation is widely applied in practice‎. ‎Providing accurate confidence intervals for the discrete distribution parameters is very difficult‎. ‎So far‎, ‎many asymptotic confidence intervals for the mean of Poisson distribution is provided‎. ‎It is known that the coverag...

متن کامل

Bootstrap confidence intervals of CNpk for type‑II generalized log‑logistic distribution

This paper deals with construction of confidence intervals for process capability index using bootstrap method (proposed by Chen and Pearn in Qual Reliab Eng Int 13(6):355–360, 1997) by applying simulation technique. It is assumed that the quality characteristic follows type-II generalized log-logistic distribution introduced by Rosaiah et al. in Int J Agric Stat Sci 4(2):283–292, (2008). Discu...

متن کامل

Confidence Intervals for Lower Quantiles Based on Two-Sample Scheme

In this paper, a new two-sampling scheme is proposed to construct appropriate confidence intervals for the lower population quantiles. The confidence intervals are determined in the parametric and nonparametric set up and the optimality problem is discussed in each case. Finally, the proposed procedure is illustrated via a real data set. 

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره 23  شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2016